Dear Shareholders,
The pall of gloom continued to subdue virtually all spheres of human existence in the
year gone by. The world continued to battle with raging pandemic, government actions, a
strong recovery after a sharp and deep global recession, mounting inflation, a war in
Ukraine and dramatic economic sanctions against Russia. All this turmoil has serious
ramifications for the world-with the potential restructuring of the global order and
indirectly on our company.
But during this difficult time, we put aside our differences to offer solutions and
work with others in the world to come together in defence of democracy and essential
freedoms, including free enterprise. These difficult times has seen India work in unison
with other countries around the globe, especially during instances of conflict and crisis.
This juncture is also a moment when our country needs to work across the private and
public sectors to lead. Paisalo as a company has historically always continued to work and
will do its part to ensure the safety and security of the country.
Although I begin this annual letter to shareholders in a challenging landscape, I
remain proud of what our company and our thousands of employees around the country have
achieved, collectively and individually. As you know, we have championed the essential
role of Co-Lending in the community- its potential for bringing people together, for
enabling companies and individuals to reach for their dreams, and for being a source of
strength.
Throughout these past two challenging years, we never stopped doing all the things we
should be doing to serve our borrowers and our community.
Looking back on previous year and the past three decades- starting from my time as CEO
in 1989- it is clear that our financial discipline, constant investment in innovation, and
ongoing development of our people are what enabled us to persevere in our steadfast
dedication to help borrowers and communities throughout the country.
Financial Year 2021-2022 was another strong year for Paisalo, with the firm generating
record revenue in our business history. We earned INR 793 million in net income on revenue
of INR 3,922 million versus INR 609 million on revenue of INR 3,115 million in FY 2021,
reflecting strong underlying performance across our business. Our market share continued
to grow across our business, and we continued to make significant investments in products,
people and technology, all the while maintaining credit discipline and a robust balance
sheet. In total, we extended credit of INR 16,343 million for micro, small and medium
individuals, businesses, and women entrepreneurs.
I would like to reiterate some steadfast principles that are worth focusing upon. The
first is that while Paisalo stock is owned by large institutions, pension plans, mutual
funds and directly by individual investors, in almost all cases, the ultimate
beneficiaries are individuals in our communities. More than 89 million people in the
country invest in stocks, and a percentage of these individuals, in one way or another,
own Paisalo's shares. Many of these people are veterans, teachers, police officers,
firefighters, healthcare workers, senior citizens or those saving for a home, education or
retirement. Our management team goes to work every day recognizing the enormous
responsibility that we have towards our shareholders.
Secondly, while we do not run the company worrying about the stock price in the short
run, in the long run our stock price is a measure of the progress we have made over the
years. This progress is a function of continual investments in our people, systems and
products, in good and bad times, to build our capabilities. When looking back at the last
five years these investments have resulted in our stock's outperformance of the Sensex.
These important investments will also drive our company's future prospects and position it
to grow and prosper for decades.
We have consistently described to you, our shareholders, the basic principles and
strategies we use to build this company- from maintaining a robust balance sheet,
constantly investing and nurturing talent to fully satisfying regulators, continually
improving risk, governance and controls, and serving customers and clients while lifting
up communities.
If you look deeper, you will find that our success and accomplishments are founded on
our commitment to our shareholders. Shareholder value can be built only if you maintain a
healthy and vibrant company, which means doing a good job of taking care of your
customers, employees and communities. Conversely, how can you have a healthy company if
you neglect any of these stakeholders? As we have learned in 2021, there are myriad ways
an institution can demonstrate its compassion for its employees and its communities while
still upholding shareholder value.
Adhering to our basic principles and strategies allows us to drive good organic growth
and properly manage our capital (including dividends), as we have consistently
demonstrated over the past decades.
There are two other critical points I would like to make. We strive to build enduring
businesses, and we are not a conglomerate- our business relies on and benefit from each
other. Both of these factors help generate our returns.
All of our company's success is predicated upon the extraordinary conditions our silent
partner-the Indian Government-creates. We recommend to all shareholders that when you see
the Indian flag, say thank you. Paisalo is a healthy and thriving company, and we always
want to give back and pay our fair share- and we want it to have the greatest impact. To
give you an idea of our taxes: In the last 10 years, we paid INR 2,548.33 million in
taxes.
Finally, the basis of our success is our people. They are the ones who serve our
borrowers and communities, build the technology, make the strategic decisions, manage the
risks, determine our investments and drive innovation. Whatever your view is of the
world's complexity and the risks and opportunities ahead, having a great team of people-
with guts, brains, integrity and enormous capabilities to navigate personally challenging
circumstances while maintaining high standards of professional excellence- is what ensures
our prosperity, now and in the future.
Within this letter, I discuss the following:
1. Geopolitical and Economic Challenges
2. Competitive Threat
3. Understanding the Community
4. Management Lesson
Geopolitical and Economic Challenges
India and the rest of the world are facing the confluence of three important and
conflicting forces: 1) a strong Indian economy, which, we hope, has COVID-19 in its
rear-view mirror; 2) high inflation, which means rising interest rates; and 3) the war in
Ukraine and the accompanying humanitarian crisis, with its impact on the global economy in
the short term, as well as its significant impact on the geopolitics of the future. These
factors will likely have a meaningful effect on the economy over the next few years and on
geopolitics for the next several decades.
I should remind the reader that we normally do not worry about- or even try to predict-
normal fluctuations of the economy. In all times, we are prepared for difficult markets
and severe recessions, as well as for unpredictable events, not only to survive them but
also provide a pillar of support to our borrowers when they need us the most.
In today's economy, the people are in excellent financial shape (on average), with
controlled leverage and plentiful jobs with wage increases. But we must recognize that the
account balances in lower-income households, smaller to begin with, are going down faster
and that the income for those households is not keeping pace with rising inflation.
During FY 2021 and FY 2022, many aberration happened in our industry: Wage growth
accelerated dramatically, particularly in low-income jobs. We should not be unhappy that
wages are going up- and that workers have more choices and are making different decisions-
in spite of the fact that this causes some difficulties for business. Housing prices
surged during the pandemic, and asset prices remained high, some, in my view, in bubble
territory.
Inflation soared to 7%; while clearly some of this rise is transitory due to supply
chain shortages, some is not, because higher wages, higher housing costs, and higher
energy and commodity prices will persist. All these factors will continue in FY 2023,
driving further growth as well as continued inflation. One additional point: Consumer
confidence and consumer spending have diverged dramatically.The drop in consumer
confidence may be in reaction to ongoing fatigue from the pandemic shutdown and concerns
over high inflation. Persistent inflation will require rising interest rates and a massive
but necessary shift to quantitative tightening.
The Reserve Bank of India and the Government did the right thing by taking bold
dramatic actions following the misfortune unleashed by the pandemic. In hindsight, it
worked.
I do not envy the RBI for what it must do next; If the RBI gets it just right, we can
have years of growth, and inflation will eventually start to recede. In any event, this
process will cause lots of consternation and very volatile markets. The RBI should not
worry about volatile markets unless they affect the actual economy. A strong economy
trumps market volatility.
This is in no way traditional RBI tightening- and there are no models that can even
remotely give us the answers. I have always been critical of people's excessive reliance
on models- since they don't capture major catalysts, such as culture, character and
technological advances. The data will likely continue to be inconsistent and volatile- and
hard to read.
One thing the RBI should do, and seems to have done, is to exempt themselves- give
themselves ultimate flexibility- from the pattern of raising rates and doing so on a
regular schedule. And while they may announce their intentions, they should be free to
change this plan on a moment's notice. In any case, rates will need to go up
substantially. The RBI has a hard job to do, so let us all wish them the best.
The massive change in the flow of funds triggered by RBI tightening is certain to have
market and economic effects that will be studied for decades to come. Our company is
prepared ior drastically higher rates and more volatile markets.
The war in Ukraine and the sanctions on Russia, at a minimum, will slow the global
economy- and it could easily get worse.
The effects of geopolitics on the economy are harder to predict. For as much attention
as it gets, geopolitics over the past 50 years has rarely disrupted the global economy in
the short run. However, it's important to point out that while past geopolitical events
often did not have short-term economic effects, they frequently had large, longer-term
consequences.
Russian aggression is having another dramatic and important result: It is coalescing
the democratic, Western world- across Europe and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization
(NATO) countries to Australia, Japan and Korea. The United States and the West realize
that there is no replacement for strong allies and strong militaries. The war can affect
geopolitics for decades. How the West comports itself, and whether the West can maintain
its unity, will likely determine the future global order and shape India's (and its
allies') important relationships.
Competitive Threat
The growing competition of banks amongst each other, NBFCs and fintechs is
intensifying. How did Paisalo perform during the recent COVID-19 crisis?
Paisalo performed magnificently during the COVID-19 crisis. In FY 2021-22, we provided
credit totalling INR 16,343 million for customers and businesses of all sizes, helping
them fund normal operations.
Within days of realizing COVID-19 was a pandemic that would virtually close large parts
of the world's economies, the Indian government moved with unprecedented speed.
Yes, of course, it is true that large government actions dramatically helped
individuals, companies (including NBFCs) and the economy overall. But it is also true that
NBFCs performed magnificently during the COVID-19 crisis. They extended a huge amount of
credit, waived fees and postponed debt repayment, and were at the forefront of delivering
loans to small businesses.
While the Indian government's actions were a benefit to the whole economy, including
the banking industry, banks and NBFCs were more than able to weather the terrible
financial storm while setting aside extensive reserves for potential future loan losses.
Banks around the world are already engaged in tough competition with each other. A
quick review of the numbers shows the phenomenal size of nonbanks- from lending companies
and fintechs to exchanges and Big Tech- that compete with traditional banks, in providing
certain financial services. Last year alone, $130 billion was invested in fintech lenders
like Paisalo, allowing them to speed things up- and at scale.
The pace of change and the size of the competition are extraordinary, and activity is
accelerating. Properly regulated NBFCs like Paisalo are meant to protect and enhance the
financial system. They are transparent with regulators, and they strive mightily to
protect the system from terrorism financing and tax evasion as they implement know your
customer (KYC) and anti-money laundering laws. They also help customers- from protecting
their data and minimizing fraud and cyber risk to providing financial education- and must
abide by social requirements, such as Financial Inclusion of Micro Markets, which requires
NBFCs to extend their services into lower-income communities.
NeoBank's and FinTech's, have it easier as they do not have to abide by certain
regulatory or social requirements. Other start-up companies providing banking-type
services have lakhs of accounts that hold consumer money, process payments, access bank
accounts and extensively use and may distribute customer data. I can go on and on, but
suffice it to say, we must be prepared for this trend to continue until these companies
are brought under the Regulatory scanner.
It seems unlikely to me that all the banks and NBFCs will thrive as they strive to take
share from each other over the next decade. You should expect to see some winners and lots
of casualties. I would expect to see this going forward in two primary ways-
1. Banks and NBFCs will partner up under the Co-Lending guidelines released by RBI on
05 November 2020; and
2. Many mergers among India's NBFCs and Fintechs- they need to do this, in some cases,
to create more economies of scale to be able to compete.
Banks and NBFCs need to acknowledge the dramatically changing competitive landscape.
If they want to compete in this new and increasingly competitive world, they need to
acknowledge the truth of this new landscape and respond appropriately.
As they adopt new technologies like cloud, artificial intelligence (AI) and digital
platforms, NBFCs have an advantage in being able to leverage their large customer base to
offer increasingly comprehensive products and services, often at no additional cost. While
many fintech companies specialize in one area, you already see many others moving in this
direction- trying to deepen and broaden their client relationships. Paisalo offers
numerous services to our customers- many of which, depending on the product and customer
relationship, are at no additional cost to the company. The principle is the same-
constantly invest and innovate to ensure our future prosperity.
As we have highlighted in previous letters, we cannot overemphasize how cyber threats
pose extreme hazards to our company and our country. This has become even more evident as
the cost of ransomware has increased dramatically. And it is evident to everyone, with the
war in Ukraine, that grave damage could be inflicted if cyber is widely used as a tool of
war. We believe that our company has some of the best cyber protections in place, as well
as the best talent to monitor and guard our information. We also work extensively, and
increasingly, with the appropriate agencies to Audit our system on regular intervals.
Understanding the Community
We need to consider the unique needs of communities across the country more
thoughtfully. Companies of all sizes need to show up, listen, and make the right
investments and decisions to earn a neighborhood's trust. Impact is most effective when it
is local.
A local bank branch, especially in a low-income neighborhood, can be successful only
when it fits the community's needs. That is why over the last several years we have
shifted our approach to how we offer access to financial education, as well as low-cost
lending products and services, to help borrowers by making Paisalo truly
Available-Aware-Affordable; especially in Unbanked Rural Centres.
We are delivering this approach through our High Tech-High Touch Model branches, unique
spaces in the heart of semi-urban and rural communities. We have opened 174 branches
across 10 states as Q1 FY23. These branches host grassroots community events, small
business mentoring sessions and financial health seminars.
The Branch Manager, a role within Paisalo, primarily functions as a local ambassador to
build and nurture relationships with community leaders, women entrepreneurs and small
businesses. We have now hired over 138 Branch Managers in underserved communities and
intend to keep growing that number. Our Branch Managers have hosted more than 45,000
financial events with over 450,000 people participating. We want people who live and work
in these communities to feel welcomed and included when they visit our branches. We ask
them to come as they are and bring the family.
I have attended many openings of our branches. The energy is vivacious. We have hosted
community leaders and small business customers who have shared their sense of pride and
optimism about what these branches mean for their community. Our Branch employees are
always at the front and at the center of these events, connecting people to one another
and forging new relationships.
We know that to be sustainable, this effort must be measured by results. Our company is
closely tracking the number of loan accounts opened, the number of borrowers funded, the
pace and scale of new small business loans extended, and a host of other metrics to ensure
that we are achieving results and listening to feedback so we can have even greater
impact.
Being the Lender of choice for all is our goaland we want everyone to feel
welcomed here and be able to contribute to our core mission to the best of their ability.
Today, in many places COVID-19 has moved from pandemic to endemic status, although
there is still suffering in some parts of the world. And we are cognizant that the risk of
new variants is real and that if they occur, we will need to take appropriate action.
As a company, while we continually prepare for multiple business resiliency scenarios
(e.g., data center failures, closures of cities & major storms), we never fully
prepared for a pandemic that entailed a large-scale shutdown of the global economy.
Although some of our employees, particularly in the branches, continued to work on our
premises every day, we quickly set up the technology- ranging from call centers and
operations banking- that enabled many of our employees to work from home. We learned that
we could function virtually with Zoom and Teams and maintain productivity, at least in the
short run.
Although the pandemic changed the way we work in many ways, for the most part it only
accelerated ongoing trends. While it's clear that working from home will become more
permanent in Indian business, such arrangements also need to work for both the company and
its clients. Most professionals learn their job through an apprenticeship model, which is
almost impossible to replicate in the Virtual world. Since the onset of COVID-19, Paisalo
has hired new people into the company- and we are making sure they are properly trained on
all aspects of our business, from their special role to the significance of conduct and
culture.
Management Lesson
Great management and leadership are critical to any large organization's long-term
success, whether it is a company or a country. Strong management is disciplined and
rigorous. You can never do enough, and it does not end. But creating an exceptional
management team is an art, not a science. Consider our most important investment: our
people, who in accounting terms are not even considered an asset. But we all understand
the value of building a great team.
Personally and professionally, I am motivated by the desire to leave the world a better
place- if I do my job well, this company can do so much for individuals, shareholders,
communities, India and humanity. I am motivated when I see our customers and employees in
action, knowing there is increased opportunity for each of them when we do better as a
company.
Work, all work, has value. It was a beautiful thing during the onset of COVID-19 when
we celebrated our essential workers, including nurses, firefighters, emergency medical
service staff, sanitation workers and police officers. They were always essential workers,
and they appreciated our recognition. Along the same lines, some in society diminish
Unbanked Rural Communities and low-income activities, such as animal husbandry, papad
making, agarbatti making, fast food cooks and others. These starter' jobs bring
dignity, provide security for many families and create a solid work ethic. Often, they
result in better social outcomes in terms of reduction in crime. For many, these jobs are
the first rung on the career ladder, leading to bigger and bigger jobs. For example, more
than 95% of fruit and vegetable kiosk owners started as street hawkers.
To maximize human creativity and freedoms- trust is essential. Trust is the force
multiplier that gets the best out of everyone. You do not earn trust if you finger-point,
do not admit to your own mistakes or do not share the credit.
A couple of important things:
1. You don't create a winning team by pandering to individuals.
2. You must deal with conflict immediately, directly and forthrightly- problems do not
age well.
3. Bring energy and drive- not just every day- but to every meeting and interaction.
4. Sharing credit, recognizing the contributions of others, and not finger-pointing all
are critical to earning trust.
5. Retaining your best talent is essential.
6. All companies have turnover in staff, and all turnover is not necessarily bad.
7. No one likes to feel that they are being taken advantage of- everyone wants to go
home each day thinking they are treated fairly and equitably.
8. We also recognize and ask our employees to take care of their mind, body, spirit,
soul, friends and family. We try to constantly remind them to give the needed time and
attention to what they cherish most.
9. And, lastly, everyone has their own needs in terms of family, income, work-life
balance and other factors.
In Closing
I would like to express my deep gratitude and appreciation to the Paisalo workforce and
their families. From this letter, I hope our shareholders and all readers gain an
appreciation for the tremendous character and capabilities of our people and how they have
helped clients and communities. They have faced these times of adversity with grace and
fortitude. I hope you are as proud of them as I am.
Finally, we sincerely hope that all the citizens and countries of the world see an end
to this terrible pandemic, see an end to the war in Ukraine, and see a renaissance of a
world on the path to peace and prosperity.
Sunil Agarwal |
Managing Director and CEO |